Category
Backtesting, expectancy, regimes and rule-based trading for people who prefer evidence to opinion.
6 guides
31 May 2026 · 8 min read
Look-ahead bias, survivorship, over-fitting and unrealistic costs — the errors that make bad systems look brilliant.
29 May 2026 · 7 min read
You do not need code to be systematic. A written rule set, then a spreadsheet, then automation — in that order.
22 Mar 2026 · 7 min read
Sample size, expectancy, adherence and drawdown — four metrics that answer the question P&L cannot.
20 Mar 2026 · 6 min read
High-accuracy small-winner systems and low-accuracy trend systems both work. Choosing between them is about temperament.
18 Mar 2026 · 7 min read
Trending, ranging and volatile-choppy conditions reward different behaviour. How to identify the regime you are in.
26 Feb 2026 · 8 min read
Observation, hypothesis, measurement, small live size, review. The sequence that turns curiosity into a system.
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